If you go back to my archives for early July 2012, you'll see how I made price predictions from planetary alignments and how those turned out.

Well I'm at it again with these charts.  The wide horizontal lines are the price projections, and the wide vertical lines are the days when price should be in one of the outlined areas.

This one shows the possible places I have for price on Nov 6

This one shows the Nov 9

I think we're due for some alternation here.  Notice how the last full cycle was down two for two cycles and up for one.  We just had two cycles down, I think we're due for one up again.  So in the charts above, i think we're headed for the upper lines.

Here's a proposed channel:

"The stock market is now 19 weeks into its intermediate cycle, which generally lasts 18-22 weeks. So we are well into the timing band for that major bottom".  I buy that.  I picked it up from this blog:

http://smartmoneytracker.blogspot.com/

If any of these lines break, I may change my position:

i still have concerns about these sectors, so i'm ready to short if the trade doesn't work out.

I was a little disappointed in the last prediction (I made it the red vertical line below).

The rules I use are that the vertical lines will occur on either the last day of the previous cycle or the first day of the next cycle.

So looking at it here, it's clearly a failure.  However, if we look at it using 30 minute, we get a different view.

From this view, it appears the prediction worked perfectly.  Although a lower low occurred the next day, it's clearly engaged in a different behavior.  And the day in question was the transitional day between the cycles.

60min

The cycle is due today.

Overnight gapped me for a loss, but I was able to quickly get short and ride it to the bottom to get even, then go long at the bottom, but followed it up too closely with a stop, so only a small profit.

The next cycle is Fri-Mon, but most astro events are happening Sun-Mon including a full moon on Monday.

I can't see getting back in with another long position from here.  I don't like the way these charts look and I think upside potential from here is limited.  In those cases with trend lines, I think price will simply revisit the trend line before heading down and it isn't far to the trendline.

Risk / reward for a long position doesn't look good to me right here.  I'm sitting in cash.

I would like nothing more this cycle to fail and we just keep going down.  However, I will be patient.  If we do rise for a few days, the gun should be loaded for another impulse down next week.

Hanging tough and taking the pain on my long position.

But if 1411 on S&P futures breaks, I'm flipping to short.

Watching this chart like a hawk.

I'm bullish for the rest of the week and looking to get out Friday.  However, I only have a moderate long position and I'll remain vigilant and ready for heavy reverse if the bottom trend line is broken.

S&P hit expected bottom:

Cycle is due:

Global S&P not looking quite ready to drop.

S&P sectors via SPDRs.  

Financials and energy not looking ready to fall.

It seems like these would show more of a definite topping process if we were going to fall through the floor.

Flag

Flag

Large pennant, or symmetrical triangle 

Channel

If all of these tried to make a move up and that ended up being very weak, then I'd say they're ready to fall.  To me it all just doesn't seem quite exhausted yet.  We'll see.

So far so good on these calendar predictions.  Again, the yellow/white lines will often hit on the last day of a leg or the first day of the next leg.

For the next turn, I couldn't quite narrow it down as to whether Monday, Tues, or Wed would be the first day up.   I looked at the $SPX chart and couldn't quite decide whether the this leg would end at the 50ma (i.e. low came in Friday) or at the yellow downward sloping trend line (ending around 1420).

I decided by looking at the SPDR ETFs representing most of the S&P sectors.  I think most of these charts are going to try to hit their blue trend trend lines, which would mean at least one more day bearish candle.

Whether the first bull candle occurs on Tues or Wed depends on how Monday goes.

Of course there's the possibility that I'm completely wrong and price just blasts down through all of this stuff like it doesn't exist.  If that happens, I will totally jump on the bear train.

i think i may get in short here with a stop over yesterdays high and close it before the weekend. If it hits my stop, i'll throw in the towel until next week

Still looking to enter a trade Mon-Tues and hoping for a good setup in some form between now and then.

My best guess between now and then is I think the market is still non-committal.

I think it will pull back here due to this resistance on SPY (and a yellow cycle line) and move back down to the 50ma.  Then (starting early next week), start riding the 50 up to the point of the triangle and election day.

Could be wrong on that prediction.  We'll see.

However, I am confident that the majority of the major turns between now and the end of the year will happen on one of the yellow or white vertical lines.


Not every yellow (or white) line will end up being a turn.  But if a major turn does happen, I think it'll likely be on one of these lines.

My charts aren't clear for the next few days, so when in doubt, I'm staying out.

If I had to make a call, I'd say price is going to go sideways here for a few days.  Consolidation or topping process of some kind, but I'm not sure.  I just don't see a setup right here.

However, I am looking for a trend of some kind (bullish or bearish) that will start up Mon/Tues next week (22/23rd).  Then as the market picks a direction, I'm jumping on.  I think it will last all week.

My stop was hit about an hour ago.  Taking my profits and I'm out.

i'm long and getting out sometime today. I think we'll see chop until early next week.  I'll look to re-enter (long or short) then

Went long at the open today.
Moving my stop to today's open (break even).
Looking for price to move up again tomorrow (16th)

Longer term:

BAD NEWS:
The signals I follow aren't clear for the 17th through the 23rd:

17th: Thick red line signal (Lindsay LLH)
18th: Yellow cycle line (plus Venus crossing Gann 24 line)
19th: Thick green line (Lindsay HHL)
21st: Moon 1st quarter
23rd: yellow cycle line

...so I'll manage my long position carefully and see if price action gives any clues:

GOOD NEWS:
Starting the 23rd through the 26th (next week) my charts show no turn events, so I'll be looking for price to trend during that time.

UPDATED S&P500 DAILY SWING TRADE TIME SYSTEM 1.11
Lines shown are days you may consider entering/exiting a trade (sort of like how Fibonacci retrace shows where price may turn, this shows the day price may turn)

UPDATED 10/14/2012
- switched to chart format
- tweaks to granularity
- added moon phases
- forward predictions are correlated with fast moving planets crossing 24 lines on Gann wheel
- I didn't take the time to correlate the backtest lines.  I just threw a few on there to show how it works.

Also added two charts with Lindsay LLH (red) and HHL (green) lines.
- Market typically turns where lines are thickest.

Important swing date predictions for S&P 500:
Nov 2 2012
Oct 29 2012
Oct 23 2012
Oct 18 2012

Past performance:
Oct 10 2012 | (pending) | low?
Oct 5 2012 | (missed turn) | high
Oct 3-4 2012 | YES | Oct 3 2012

S&P500 DAILY SWING TRADE
TIME SYSTEM 1.1

Future prediction:
Oct 22-23 2012
Oct 18 2012
Oct 10 2012

Past performance:
Oct 5 2012 | (missed turn)
Oct 3-4 2012 | YES | Oct 3 2012

Summary:
I think we're at the bottom of w5 and I plan on hitting it again with another long tomorrow for w2 up.  Then I'm predicting a big w3 down next week.

Details:
Ouch!  Got spanked today on a bull trap out of what I think (in hindsight) was a w4.  But there's really no other way I can operate (that I'm aware of) given the trading constraints I operate under:

A) I'm a swing trader that trades off daily charts

B) I have to set my stops for the day, go to work, then see what happened end of day.  Sometimes I can pop in and check out the market for lunch

C)  I deal with future date predictions with +/- one day windows.

D) If I see a potential bottom in a turn window, I've got to go for it

When you have those turn windows, you have to set your stops tight and sometimes it WILL whipsaw on you.  That's just the way it goes.  But it won't whipsaw on every turn.  I lost the money in w5 (down today) that I made on w3 (down a few days ago).  Maybe I can make some up in w2 up (starting tomorrow) and I'll definitely make it up in w3 down (next week).

So, here's what I'm looking at:

This is one of the primary charts I've been looking at the shows short term cycles.  It's been alternating since April.  It could go double (another leg down), half time (a short flip), or continue alternation.  I'm betting on continued alternation for at least one more leg.  But if it's going to do that, it MUST go higher tomorrow. The next lines (possible turn windows) are between July 13-16 and between July 20-23.

The next chart is the Lindsay chart, which has had a stellar record since the big melt up.  I've been debating which of the last two tops (July 6 or 13) were correct.  I think the answer is they both are.  I'm betting the one on the 13th is the top of w2 down

Next chart shows lunar conjunction with planets and moon phases.  The next conjunction is on the 13th and the next one is on the 19th (one day from my 20th turn window)

Does the S&P tend to react when the moon is in Aries or the moon is 150 degree aspect from Pluto? Both were in aspect when the S&P was "born" on April 21, 1982.  The next two Pluto aspects are on the 13th and the 19th (one day from my 20th turn window)

Good luck bears!  Got me today, but I'll try again tomorrow.  And I'm be looking to be a bear next week anyway...

Hi everybody!

Summary:
Bull turn next couple of days.  Bear turn this weekend.

Details:
My charts have a turn on the 9th or 10th.  SJ has a turn on the 11th.  That's close enough for me.

The real test is July 13-16 (Friday/Mon) where two systems with awesome records so far collide, which is the Lindsay time system and SJ's Red Line Scenario.

Also I'll admit that I totally missed that last turn on the up leg, but that was my own call and not Lindsay (the Lindsay system only calls tops, not bottoms).

And of course there's the option that we're both wrong and the top is already in   :)     Or the 13th will be the top of a w2 and then it goes down.  Whatever...

I've attached two charts.  The first shows the Lindsay system with the calls for tops.  The arrows show the points of origin.  The big red line is where things should go south.  Working great since April.

(side note:  the Lindsay system had a really hard time with that big melt up from Dec to April 2012 (not shown).  It was wrong a couple of times before it nailed it.  Lindsay always said his system works great in bear markets and not so hot in bull markets)

The next chart has something interesting which is astro price predictions which which I posted a while back.  This is the first time I'm trying this technique and it'll be fun to see if it comes true.  It shows three harmonics where price should be on that date.  Right now I'm thinking the most likely is the middle one.   2nd most likely the top if this is an aggressive impulse wave and there's a 5th wave up still to go.

I also posted my best guess (white lines) as to what may be coming up.   Caution!  I suck at price and levels, I'm only worth anything on calling turn dates.

It'll be fun to see what happens on July 13-16.  My mentality on the whole thing is like a friendly poker game where win or lose, you laugh about it.  Or maybe like crazy constructed robots that turn on each other.  Fun times!

..yeah i'm a geek...

Good luck everybody!

Good evening all!

Short version:
Went short today.  Moving my disaster stop to just over Tuesday's high.  Looking for larger down move tomorrow then looking to go long Monday or Tuesday.

Long version:
It looks like price is still performing alternation in the short term market cycles below.  So we can expect at least one more down day before we have to start thinking about the next turn (bullish if alternation continues).  The next official turn is between the 9th & 10th, but these are +/- one day as you can see from previous examples.  The next marker (presumably from bullish to bearish with alternation) is between the 13th and 16th (Fri/Mon)

Next is a simple Lindsay chart showing the possible major market turns.  The group to the left are the origins and the group to the right are the possible major market tops.  There is one tomorrow, which indicates that it's possible that the "top" just happened on Tuesday.  Right now I'm thinking that's unlikely and the next marker will be the true one.  That one lands exactly on the 13th.

Also it will be fun to try out the astro price predictor for Mars/True North Node (below) it calls for price touching 1394.  It's also possible that price will be at the harmonic below at that point.  There are other harmonics, but those two seem the most plausible.

Good luck everybody!

Good evening all!

Cycling back to the Lindsay time system for insight into what's coming up.

So here's three examples Lindsay gave of originating formations:

...from there you count 107 calendar days to a major top (plus or minus a few days)

The bottom example is the one we used last time.  Although we got a really good decline that day, it wasn't THE top.  So we're going to take another shot at it using the other two formations.

Below are three arrows to the origins.  The first is our first attempt and we received only limited results.

Giving the two remaining examples, the formation looks the most like number two, except if you bring in Global S&P:

...so we'll keep an eye out for both.  Also let's consider the current short term cycle model I came up with:

Since April, price has been following an alternating up/down pattern.  However, backtesting has shown cycles will occasionally go twice as fast (as seen in late March) or twice as slow where it takes two cycles to make a complete "up" or "down" (example not shown).

I'm going to guess that alternation will continue, which means it will go down or consolidate here.

I'm also going to say that the 2nd Lindsay example is the correct one and the top will happen on the next up cycle which ends on the 13th.

My play:  I'm going for it and going short at market price tomorrow morning (other factors include the full moon that happened last trading day, yada yada).  Price may go higher, but it must CLOSE lower than the previous close or I'm out.  I'm looking for the biggest down candle on Friday the 6th to correspond with the 3rd Lindsay pattern (which I don't think will be THE top, but should still make a sizeable bear candle).  Then in correspondence with the short term cycles, I'm looking for price to reverse early next week and go up for the week.

**LindsayTimeStudent is now RipplesInTime**

Greetings all!  Decided to change my name to better reflect where my brain is at these day.  I still use the Lindsay system, but it's a subset now.

Next calendar events (each plus or minus 1 day):   Jul3, Jul9, Jul16, Jul20

My forte is coming up with the important dates like above (the ripples in time).  Now what I can't see (at least right now) is what will happen there.  But as always, I'll keep researching, studying, and performing experiments to try and improve the system.

Here's my plan for the dates tonight, but they may change as the EW unfolds:

I'm putting a short entry under today's candle even though I'm suspecting we're going into consolidation.  Or let's put it another way.  I'm feeling very confident about the turn, but not sure what kind of wave will come out of it.  The nature of my studies only show me the date.

If tomorrow's low is higher, I'll move my short up to under that.

Good luck everybody!

Hi all.  Hope everyone's having a great weekend.

More intense weekend research on my end with Gann wheels and astro stuff.

So I TOTALLY screwed up that last turn on 6/25, but nailed the ones 6/4 and 6/19.  So I'm 2 out of 3 since I've been posting on the board.  Let me see if I can better my average.

Regarding the current wave up which started around Jun 26, I'm pretty sure it'll be a 5 waver and we are in the middle of w3.

My calls:

w3 will end july 2-3

w4 will end july 6-9 (Fri or Mon)

w5 will go through the week of July 9 to 13 (not exactly sure about the end date of w5.  Will make that call when it's closer)

Also, I'm seeing significant resistance lines where we are now, so I don't think there's much more action on w3 as it tests this top.  It might break through, but I don't think it will explode through.  But, as always, I'm better at calling turn dates then I am at calling levels.

However, I will make this cool astro call regarding levels.  There are certain planetary aspects where you can make calls as to where price will be on that date.  One is between Mars and the True North Node.  In the attached chart, you see three circles which shows the price call and harmonics.  On that date (or day before or after) price should be at one of those three levels.  I feel the highest probability is the one with the candle inside.

So the official call is price will reach at least 1394 somewhere between July 10-12

That is not necessarily calling the top of w5, just that price will reach that point somewhere in that date range.

My strategy:

I have a day job and a wife and a newborn, so I have to be a swing trader (i.e. place my entry and exit stops for the day and walk away).  I'm not going to fool around with the remainder of w3 (not much more upside) or w4 (I only trade with the trend).

So I'll be looking to go long starting Monday the 9th and then hit (at least) that 1394.  By then I'll also have a call for the end of w5 and I'll look to reverse from long to short there.

I've also attached one of my new S/R charts.  Does price pay attention to those planets?  You be the judge.  It shows some resistance over the current w3.

Good luck everybody!