Summary:
I think we're at the bottom of w5 and I plan on hitting it again with another long tomorrow for w2 up.  Then I'm predicting a big w3 down next week.

Details:
Ouch!  Got spanked today on a bull trap out of what I think (in hindsight) was a w4.  But there's really no other way I can operate (that I'm aware of) given the trading constraints I operate under:

A) I'm a swing trader that trades off daily charts

B) I have to set my stops for the day, go to work, then see what happened end of day.  Sometimes I can pop in and check out the market for lunch

C)  I deal with future date predictions with +/- one day windows.

D) If I see a potential bottom in a turn window, I've got to go for it

When you have those turn windows, you have to set your stops tight and sometimes it WILL whipsaw on you.  That's just the way it goes.  But it won't whipsaw on every turn.  I lost the money in w5 (down today) that I made on w3 (down a few days ago).  Maybe I can make some up in w2 up (starting tomorrow) and I'll definitely make it up in w3 down (next week).

So, here's what I'm looking at:

This is one of the primary charts I've been looking at the shows short term cycles.  It's been alternating since April.  It could go double (another leg down), half time (a short flip), or continue alternation.  I'm betting on continued alternation for at least one more leg.  But if it's going to do that, it MUST go higher tomorrow. The next lines (possible turn windows) are between July 13-16 and between July 20-23.

The next chart is the Lindsay chart, which has had a stellar record since the big melt up.  I've been debating which of the last two tops (July 6 or 13) were correct.  I think the answer is they both are.  I'm betting the one on the 13th is the top of w2 down

Next chart shows lunar conjunction with planets and moon phases.  The next conjunction is on the 13th and the next one is on the 19th (one day from my 20th turn window)

Does the S&P tend to react when the moon is in Aries or the moon is 150 degree aspect from Pluto? Both were in aspect when the S&P was "born" on April 21, 1982.  The next two Pluto aspects are on the 13th and the 19th (one day from my 20th turn window)

Good luck bears!  Got me today, but I'll try again tomorrow.  And I'm be looking to be a bear next week anyway...

Hi everybody!

Summary:
Bull turn next couple of days.  Bear turn this weekend.

Details:
My charts have a turn on the 9th or 10th.  SJ has a turn on the 11th.  That's close enough for me.

The real test is July 13-16 (Friday/Mon) where two systems with awesome records so far collide, which is the Lindsay time system and SJ's Red Line Scenario.

Also I'll admit that I totally missed that last turn on the up leg, but that was my own call and not Lindsay (the Lindsay system only calls tops, not bottoms).

And of course there's the option that we're both wrong and the top is already in   :)     Or the 13th will be the top of a w2 and then it goes down.  Whatever...

I've attached two charts.  The first shows the Lindsay system with the calls for tops.  The arrows show the points of origin.  The big red line is where things should go south.  Working great since April.

(side note:  the Lindsay system had a really hard time with that big melt up from Dec to April 2012 (not shown).  It was wrong a couple of times before it nailed it.  Lindsay always said his system works great in bear markets and not so hot in bull markets)

The next chart has something interesting which is astro price predictions which which I posted a while back.  This is the first time I'm trying this technique and it'll be fun to see if it comes true.  It shows three harmonics where price should be on that date.  Right now I'm thinking the most likely is the middle one.   2nd most likely the top if this is an aggressive impulse wave and there's a 5th wave up still to go.

I also posted my best guess (white lines) as to what may be coming up.   Caution!  I suck at price and levels, I'm only worth anything on calling turn dates.

It'll be fun to see what happens on July 13-16.  My mentality on the whole thing is like a friendly poker game where win or lose, you laugh about it.  Or maybe like crazy constructed robots that turn on each other.  Fun times!

..yeah i'm a geek...

Good luck everybody!

Good evening all!

Short version:
Went short today.  Moving my disaster stop to just over Tuesday's high.  Looking for larger down move tomorrow then looking to go long Monday or Tuesday.

Long version:
It looks like price is still performing alternation in the short term market cycles below.  So we can expect at least one more down day before we have to start thinking about the next turn (bullish if alternation continues).  The next official turn is between the 9th & 10th, but these are +/- one day as you can see from previous examples.  The next marker (presumably from bullish to bearish with alternation) is between the 13th and 16th (Fri/Mon)

Next is a simple Lindsay chart showing the possible major market turns.  The group to the left are the origins and the group to the right are the possible major market tops.  There is one tomorrow, which indicates that it's possible that the "top" just happened on Tuesday.  Right now I'm thinking that's unlikely and the next marker will be the true one.  That one lands exactly on the 13th.

Also it will be fun to try out the astro price predictor for Mars/True North Node (below) it calls for price touching 1394.  It's also possible that price will be at the harmonic below at that point.  There are other harmonics, but those two seem the most plausible.

Good luck everybody!

Good evening all!

Cycling back to the Lindsay time system for insight into what's coming up.

So here's three examples Lindsay gave of originating formations:

...from there you count 107 calendar days to a major top (plus or minus a few days)

The bottom example is the one we used last time.  Although we got a really good decline that day, it wasn't THE top.  So we're going to take another shot at it using the other two formations.

Below are three arrows to the origins.  The first is our first attempt and we received only limited results.

Giving the two remaining examples, the formation looks the most like number two, except if you bring in Global S&P:

...so we'll keep an eye out for both.  Also let's consider the current short term cycle model I came up with:

Since April, price has been following an alternating up/down pattern.  However, backtesting has shown cycles will occasionally go twice as fast (as seen in late March) or twice as slow where it takes two cycles to make a complete "up" or "down" (example not shown).

I'm going to guess that alternation will continue, which means it will go down or consolidate here.

I'm also going to say that the 2nd Lindsay example is the correct one and the top will happen on the next up cycle which ends on the 13th.

My play:  I'm going for it and going short at market price tomorrow morning (other factors include the full moon that happened last trading day, yada yada).  Price may go higher, but it must CLOSE lower than the previous close or I'm out.  I'm looking for the biggest down candle on Friday the 6th to correspond with the 3rd Lindsay pattern (which I don't think will be THE top, but should still make a sizeable bear candle).  Then in correspondence with the short term cycles, I'm looking for price to reverse early next week and go up for the week.

**LindsayTimeStudent is now RipplesInTime**

Greetings all!  Decided to change my name to better reflect where my brain is at these day.  I still use the Lindsay system, but it's a subset now.

Next calendar events (each plus or minus 1 day):   Jul3, Jul9, Jul16, Jul20

My forte is coming up with the important dates like above (the ripples in time).  Now what I can't see (at least right now) is what will happen there.  But as always, I'll keep researching, studying, and performing experiments to try and improve the system.

Here's my plan for the dates tonight, but they may change as the EW unfolds:

I'm putting a short entry under today's candle even though I'm suspecting we're going into consolidation.  Or let's put it another way.  I'm feeling very confident about the turn, but not sure what kind of wave will come out of it.  The nature of my studies only show me the date.

If tomorrow's low is higher, I'll move my short up to under that.

Good luck everybody!

Hi all.  Hope everyone's having a great weekend.

More intense weekend research on my end with Gann wheels and astro stuff.

So I TOTALLY screwed up that last turn on 6/25, but nailed the ones 6/4 and 6/19.  So I'm 2 out of 3 since I've been posting on the board.  Let me see if I can better my average.

Regarding the current wave up which started around Jun 26, I'm pretty sure it'll be a 5 waver and we are in the middle of w3.

My calls:

w3 will end july 2-3

w4 will end july 6-9 (Fri or Mon)

w5 will go through the week of July 9 to 13 (not exactly sure about the end date of w5.  Will make that call when it's closer)

Also, I'm seeing significant resistance lines where we are now, so I don't think there's much more action on w3 as it tests this top.  It might break through, but I don't think it will explode through.  But, as always, I'm better at calling turn dates then I am at calling levels.

However, I will make this cool astro call regarding levels.  There are certain planetary aspects where you can make calls as to where price will be on that date.  One is between Mars and the True North Node.  In the attached chart, you see three circles which shows the price call and harmonics.  On that date (or day before or after) price should be at one of those three levels.  I feel the highest probability is the one with the candle inside.

So the official call is price will reach at least 1394 somewhere between July 10-12

That is not necessarily calling the top of w5, just that price will reach that point somewhere in that date range.

My strategy:

I have a day job and a wife and a newborn, so I have to be a swing trader (i.e. place my entry and exit stops for the day and walk away).  I'm not going to fool around with the remainder of w3 (not much more upside) or w4 (I only trade with the trend).

So I'll be looking to go long starting Monday the 9th and then hit (at least) that 1394.  By then I'll also have a call for the end of w5 and I'll look to reverse from long to short there.

I've also attached one of my new S/R charts.  Does price pay attention to those planets?  You be the judge.  It shows some resistance over the current w3.

Good luck everybody!

Hi all.  Hope everyone's having a great weekend.

More intense weekend research on my end with Gann wheels and astro stuff.

So I TOTALLY screwed up that last turn on 6/25, but nailed the ones 6/4 and 6/19.  So I'm 2 out of 3 since I've been posting on the board.  Let me see if I can better my average.

Regarding the current wave up which started around Jun 26, I'm pretty sure it'll be a 5 waver and we are in the middle of w3.

My calls:
w3 will end july 2-3
w4 will end july 6-9 (Fri or Mon)
w5 will go through the week of July 9 to 13 (not exactly sure about the end date of w5.  Will make that call when it's closer)

Also, I'm seeing significant resistance lines where we are now, so I don't think there's much more action on w3 as it tests this top.  It might break through, but I don't think it will explode through.  But, as always, I'm better at calling turn dates then I am at calling levels.

However, I will make this cool astro call regarding levels.  There are certain planetary aspects where you can make calls as to where price will be on that date.  One is between Mars and the True North Node.  In the attached chart, you see three circles which shows the price call and harmonics.  On that date (or day before or after) price should be at one of those three levels.  I feel the highest probability is the one with the candle inside.

So the official call is price will reach at least 1394 somewhere between July 10-12

That is not necessarily calling the top of w5, just that price will reach that point somewhere in that date range.

My strategy:
I have a day job and a wife and a newborn, so I have to be a swing trader (i.e. place my entry and exit stops for the day and walk away).  I'm not going to fool around with the remainder of w3 (not much more upside) or w4 (I only trade with the trend).

So I'll be looking to go long starting Monday the 9th and then hit (at least) that 1394.  By then I'll also have a call for the end of w5 and I'll look to reverse from long to short there.

I've also attached one of my new S/R charts.  Does price pay attention to those planets?  You be the judge.  It shows some resistance over the current w3.

Good luck everybody!